Knoww
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
§ Market context
About this market
Trading on this market has ended, but settlement is still pending. Kevin Warsh finished as the leading outcome at a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $617.33M in total volume.
- Status
- Trading closed
- Final leading outcome
- Kevin Warsh (100%)
- Volume
- $617.33M
- Resolution date
- December 31, 2026
- Outcomes
- 39
- Last updated
- September 30, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading has ended, so the figures above reflect the final trading state while settlement remains pending. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.