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Rain during the Bahrain Grand Prix?
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Yes was the final outcome after closing at a 100% probability. The market traded approximately $4.98K in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Yes (100%)
- Volume
- $4.98K
- Resolution date
- October 12, 2026
- Last updated
- October 7, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market resolves "Yes" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix registers 'Wet' at any point during the Race session for the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix taking place at the Sepang International Circuit in Malaysia on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve "No" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix does not register 'Wet' at any point. This market covers the Race session only. Rain during Free Practice, Qualifying, Sprint or any other session does not affect this market's resolution. If the Race is suspended or restarted, the FIA Race Weather Report covering the complete, final classified running of the Race is the resolution source. If the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix is canceled or postponed to a date after October 12, 2026, this market resolves "No". Declarations by Race Control that "the track is wet", broadcast commentary, news reporting, or any other secondary sources do not qualify for resolution, only the FIA's official Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix will qualify. If the FIA Race Weather Report has not been published by October 12, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve off the FIA Weather Report which will be available on the Event&Timing Information page: https://www.fia.com/events/fia-formula-one-world-championship/season-2026/formula-one. If this link is unavailable, the report will be located via FIA's official F1 season hub at fia.com.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.