Knoww
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
The Field
2§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see December 31 as the leading outcome, at a 24% probability across 15 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved down 5 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $6.67M in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- December 31 (24%)
- Volume
- $6.67M
- Liquidity
- $50.76K
- Resolution date
- January 1, 2027
- Outcomes
- 15
- Last updated
- October 18, 2026
Rules and resolution
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and Janaury 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.