Knoww
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
The Field
2§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see December 31, 2026 as the leading outcome, at a 30% probability across 4 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 5 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $485.48K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- December 31, 2026 (30%)
- Volume
- $485.48K
- Liquidity
- $4.38K
- Resolution date
- January 1, 2027
- Outcomes
- 4
- Last updated
- October 23, 2026
Rules and resolution
This is a market on whether OpenAI will release a consumer hardware product by the specified date.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.