Knoww
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently assign a 99% probability to Yes on this market. This is the live price of the leading outcome, and it moves as traders buy and sell. The market has traded approximately $665.06K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Yes (99%)
- Volume
- $665.06K
- Liquidity
- $99.73K
- Resolution date
- January 1, 2027
- Last updated
- October 16, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.