
World Cup: Golden Ball Winner
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Rodri was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $17.15M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Rodri (100%)
- Volume
- $17.15M
- Resolution date
- July 20, 2026
- Outcomes
- 41
- Last updated
- August 13, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.