Knoww
World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Mexico was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $16.90M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Mexico (100%)
- Volume
- $16.90M
- Resolution date
- June 28, 2026
- Outcomes
- 48
- Last updated
- August 13, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.