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World Cup Winner
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Spain was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $4.33B in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Spain (100%)
- Volume
- $4.33B
- Resolution date
- July 20, 2026
- Outcomes
- 60
- Last updated
- August 13, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.