
Bank of Russia decision in October?
The Field
3§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see No Change as the leading outcome, at a 78% probability across 3 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved down 4 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $367.03K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by October 24, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- No Change (78%)
- Volume
- $367.03K
- Liquidity
- $37.19K
- Resolution date
- October 24, 2026
- Outcomes
- 3
- Last updated
- October 22, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Resolution source: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
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Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.