
How many jobs added in October?
The Field
5 of 7§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see 100k+ as the leading outcome, at a 32% probability across 7 listed outcomes. The market has traded approximately $23.89K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by November 7, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- 100k+ (32%)
- Volume
- $23.89K
- Liquidity
- $9.57K
- Resolution date
- November 7, 2026
- Outcomes
- 7
- Last updated
- October 22, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for October 2026, scheduled to be released on November 6, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
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Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.