Knoww
Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
The Field
5§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Elif Eralp as the leading outcome, at a 84% probability across 32 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 3 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $238.98K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by September 20, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Elif Eralp (84%)
- Volume
- $238.98K
- Liquidity
- $68.34K
- Resolution date
- September 20, 2026
- Outcomes
- 32
- Last updated
- October 16, 2026
Rules and resolution
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.