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Next Prime Minister of the Netherlands
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Rob Jetten was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $21.92M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Rob Jetten (100%)
- Volume
- $21.92M
- Resolution date
- December 31, 2026
- Outcomes
- 29
- Last updated
- February 24, 2026
Rules and resolution
The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are scheduled for October 29. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of the Netherlands following the 2025 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Netherlands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.