Knoww
Nobel Peace Prize 2025
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Donald Trump was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of <1%. The market traded approximately $30.82M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Donald Trump (<1%)
- Volume
- $30.82M
- Resolution date
- December 31, 2025
- Outcomes
- 2
- Last updated
- June 27, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wins the 2025 Nobel Peace prize. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump wins the prize along with another person/entity, this market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.