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"Primetime" 2nd Weekend Box Office
The Field
5 of 6§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see 7-9m as the leading outcome, at a 99% probability across 6 listed outcomes. The market has traded approximately $9.70K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by October 4, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- 7-9m (99%)
- Volume
- $9.70K
- Liquidity
- $9.76K
- Resolution date
- October 4, 2026
- Outcomes
- 6
- Last updated
- October 8, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" 2nd Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day second weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.