Knoww
Romania: Bucharest Mayoral Election
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Ciprian Ciucu was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $134.25M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Ciprian Ciucu (100%)
- Volume
- $134.25M
- Resolution date
- December 7, 2025
- Outcomes
- 27
- Last updated
- August 26, 2026
Rules and resolution
Nicușor Dan, the current Mayor of Bucharest, was elected President of Romania on May 18, 2025, triggering a mayoral by-election expected within 90 days of his departure. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election to become the next elected Mayor of Bucharest. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the by-election will not be considered. If no by-election takes place by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.