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Tipping Point State in 2024 Election?
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Pennsylvania was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $26.15M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Pennsylvania (100%)
- Volume
- $26.15M
- Resolution date
- November 5, 2024
- Outcomes
- 15
- Last updated
- December 18, 2024
Rules and resolution
This is a market on which state will be the tipping point in the 2024 U.S. presidential election.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.