Knoww
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
The Field
5 of 10§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Earbuds/Headphones as the leading outcome, at a 14% probability across 10 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved down 7 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $458.61K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Earbuds/Headphones (14%)
- Volume
- $458.61K
- Liquidity
- $27.27K
- Resolution date
- January 1, 2027
- Outcomes
- 10
- Last updated
- October 25, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
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Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.