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What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
The Field
5 of 14§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see ↑ $770 as the leading outcome, at a 56% probability across 28 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved down 19 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $190.48K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- ↑ $770 (56%)
- Volume
- $190.48K
- Liquidity
- $64.73K
- Resolution date
- November 1, 2026
- Outcomes
- 28
- Last updated
- October 23, 2026
Rules and resolution
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.