Markets/Finance/What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

$111.12KVolSep 2522 mkts14 open · 8 closed

The Field

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§ Market context

About this market

Traders currently see ↓ $760 as the leading outcome, at a 70% probability across 22 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 37 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $111.12K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.

Status
Live trading
Leading outcome
↓ $760 (70%)
Volume
$111.12K
Liquidity
$208.69K
Resolution date
November 1, 2026
Outcomes
22
Last updated
October 14, 2026

Rules and resolution

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD

Data source and freshness

Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.

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Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.