Knoww
What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on December 31?
The Field
5 of 7§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see <$397K as the leading outcome, at a 35% probability across 7 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved down 7 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $20.86K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by January 11, 2027.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- <$397K (35%)
- Volume
- $20.86K
- Liquidity
- $5.63K
- Resolution date
- January 11, 2027
- Outcomes
- 7
- Last updated
- October 14, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/59)
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.