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What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Arizona?
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. Border 20+ times was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $37.94K in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- Border 20+ times (100%)
- Volume
- $37.94K
- Resolution date
- October 14, 2026
- Outcomes
- 21
- Last updated
- October 16, 2026
Rules and resolution
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Bullhead City, Arizona on October 14, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-bullhead-city-arizona-president-donald-j-trump) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Arizona on October 14, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.