Knoww
When will the Government shutdown end?
§ Market context
About this market
This market is resolved. November 12-15 was the final outcome after finishing with a closing probability of 100%. The market traded approximately $40.22M in total volume.
- Status
- Resolved
- Final outcome
- November 12-15 (100%)
- Volume
- $40.22M
- Resolution date
- November 15, 2025
- Outcomes
- 10
- Last updated
- March 24, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the first day after September 30, 2025 which the U.S. The Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations. Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Trading and settlement have ended, so the figures above reflect the resolved market state. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.