Knoww
Next Prime Minister of Romania?
The Field
5 of 38§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Luca Niculescu as the leading outcome, at a 92% probability across 49 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 12 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $5.25M in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Luca Niculescu (92%)
- Volume
- $5.25M
- Liquidity
- $1.84M
- Resolution date
- December 31, 2026
- Outcomes
- 49
- Last updated
- October 14, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.