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Alaska Senate Election Winner
The Field
5 of 7§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Mary Peltola as the leading outcome, at a 79% probability across 29 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved up 5 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $739.86K in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by November 3, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Mary Peltola (79%)
- Volume
- $739.86K
- Liquidity
- $299.05K
- Resolution date
- November 3, 2026
- Outcomes
- 29
- Last updated
- September 22, 2026
Rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.