Knoww
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
The Field
2§ Market context
About this market
Traders currently see Karen Bass as the leading outcome, at a 56% probability across 15 listed outcomes. Over the past 24 hours, the leading outcome's probability has moved down 6 percentage points. The market has traded approximately $13.93M in volume as of the latest update. It is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.
- Status
- Live trading
- Leading outcome
- Karen Bass (56%)
- Volume
- $13.93M
- Liquidity
- $342.28K
- Resolution date
- December 31, 2026
- Outcomes
- 15
- Last updated
- September 22, 2026
Rules and resolution
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Data source and freshness
Odds, volume, and liquidity come from live Polymarket order books. Prices update continuously while trading is open; the figures above reflect the most recent refresh. Probabilities are market prices — what traders collectively pay for a $1 payout if the outcome occurs — not editorial forecasts.
Related markets
Prediction-market prices can move quickly and past probabilities do not guarantee outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice.